Combining Philosophers

Ideas for Xenophanes, Keith Devlin and Stathis Psillos

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2 ideas

14. Science / A. Basis of Science / 4. Prediction
If we say where Mars was two months ago, we offer an explanation without a prediction [Psillos]
     Full Idea: There can be explanations without predictions, as when we explain a previous position of Mars from its present one, plus a law.
     From: Stathis Psillos (Causation and Explanation [2002], §8.9)
     A reaction: If we don't mind stretching the word, I think we can 'predict' the past, as where I predict the location of an Egyptian tomb from my study of papyruses.
A good barometer will predict a storm, but not explain it [Psillos]
     Full Idea: There can be predictions without explanations, as when a barometer successfully predicts storms, but on its own it does not explain them.
     From: Stathis Psillos (Causation and Explanation [2002], §8.8)
     A reaction: Actually, barometers contribute to explanations. A reasonable predictor might offer no explanation ('if he's out, she's probably out too'), but an infallible predictor is almost certain to involve causation, which helps a lot in explanation.