Single Idea 6798

[catalogued under 14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem]

Full Idea

Keen supporters of Bayesianism say it can show how induction is rational and can lead to truth, and it can reveal the underlying structure of actual scientific reasoning.

Gist of Idea

Bayesianism claims to find rationality and truth in induction, and show how science works


Alexander Bird (Philosophy of Science [1998], Ch.6)

Book Reference

Bird,Alexander: 'Philosophy of Science' [UCL Press 2000], p.203

A Reaction

See Idea 2798 for Bayes' Theorem. I find it intuitively implausible that our feeling for probabilities could be reduced to precise numbers, given the subjective nature of the numbers we put into the equation.

Related Idea

Idea 2798 Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich]