more from this thinker | more from this text
Full Idea
If all we wanted was to maximise probability, we would never venture beyond our data.
Gist of Idea
To maximise probability, don't go beyond your data
Source
Peter Lipton (Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd) [2004], 07 'friends')
Book Ref
Lipton,Peter: 'Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd ed)' [Routledge 2004], p.110
13056 | Statistical explanation needs relevance, not high probability [Salmon] |
13057 | Think of probabilities in terms of propensities rather than frequencies [Salmon] |
13060 | Can events whose probabilities are low be explained? [Salmon] |
16274 | If the well-ordering of a pack of cards was by shuffling, the explanation would make it more surprising [Lewis] |
16840 | To maximise probability, don't go beyond your data [Lipton] |
6756 | Probabilistic-statistical explanations don't entail the explanandum, but makes it more likely [Bird] |
6760 | An operation might reduce the probability of death, yet explain a death [Bird] |