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Single Idea 22179

[filed under theme 14. Science / A. Basis of Science / 4. Prediction ]

Full Idea

Hempel said every scientific explanation is potentially a prediction - it would have predicted the phenomenon in question, had it not already been known. But also the information used to make a prediction is potentially an explanation.

Gist of Idea

Explanatory facts also predict, and predictive facts also explain

Source

report of Carl Hempel (Aspects of Scientific Explanation [1965]) by Samir Okasha - Philosophy of Science: Very Short Intro (2nd ed) 3

Book Ref

Okasha,Samir: 'Philosophy of Science: very short intro (2nd ed)' [OUP 2016], p.40


A Reaction

Sounds too neatly glib to be quite true. If you explain a single event there is nothing to predict. You might predict accurately from a repetitive pattern, with no understanding at all of the pattern.


The 5 ideas from Carl Hempel

Explanatory facts also predict, and predictive facts also explain [Hempel, by Okasha]
For Hempel, explanations are deductive-nomological or probabilistic-statistical [Hempel, by Bird]
The covering-law model is for scientific explanation; historical explanation is quite different [Hempel]
Hempel rejects causation as part of explanation [Hempel, by Salmon]
Scientific explanation aims at a unifying account of underlying structures and processes [Hempel]