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Single Idea 3869

[filed under theme 3. Truth / A. Truth Problems / 6. Verisimilitude ]

Full Idea

If a theory is a better approximation to the truth, then it is likely that it will have greater predictive power.

Gist of Idea

More truthful theories have greater predictive power

Source

W.H. Newton-Smith (The Rationality of Science [1981], VIII.8)

Book Ref

Newton-Smith,W.H.: 'The Rationality of Science' [RKP 1981], p.197


The 8 ideas with the same theme [process of getting closer to the truth]:

If one error is worse than another, it must be because it is further from the truth [Aristotle]
The one unpardonable offence in reasoning is to block the route to further truth [Peirce]
Truth does not admit of more and less [Frege]
Theories generate infinite truths and falsehoods, so they cannot be used to assess probability [Newton-Smith]
More truthful theories have greater predictive power [Newton-Smith]
Verisimilitude has proved hard to analyse, and seems to have several components [Lewis]
Verisimilitude might be explained as being close to the possible world where the truth is exact [Lewis]
Verisimilitude comes from including more phenomena, and revealing what underlies [Thagard]