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Full Idea
Bayesian epistemology is based upon the 'simple rule' (believe P if it is sufficiently probable) and Bayes' Theorem.
Clarification
'Bayes' Theorem' is an equation for assessing probability
Gist of Idea
Bayesian epistemology is Bayes' Theorem plus the 'simple rule' (believe P if it is probable)
Source
J Pollock / J Cruz (Contemporary theories of Knowledge (2nd) [1999], §4.3.1)
Book Ref
Pollock,J.L./Cruz,J: 'Contemporary Theories of Knowledge (2nd)' [Rowman and Littlefield 1999], p.101
A Reaction
For Bayes' Theorem, see Idea 2798. There is the question of whether the proposition is subjectively or objectively probable (I believe in ghosts, so any shadow is probably a ghost). There is also the problem of objective evidence for the calculation.
Related Idea
Idea 2798 Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich]
| 6595 | If we need a criterion of truth, we need to know whether it is the correct criterion [Pyrrho, by Fogelin] |
| 23294 | It is common to doubt truth when discussing it, but totally accept it when discussing knowledge [Davidson] |
| 3831 | Reasons can either be facts in the world, or intentional states [Searle] |
| 8836 | Must all justification be inferential? [Ginet] |
| 8837 | Inference cannot originate justification, it can only transfer it from premises to conclusion [Ginet] |
| 12413 | A 'warrant' is a process which ensures that a true belief is knowledge [Kitcher] |
| 3564 | Is it people who are justified, or propositions? [Williams,M] |
| 6371 | Bayesian epistemology is Bayes' Theorem plus the 'simple rule' (believe P if it is probable) [Pollock/Cruz] |
| 3752 | Justification can be of the belief, or of the person holding the belief [Bernecker/Dretske] |
| 21626 | Knowing you know (KK) is usually denied if the knowledge concept is missing, or not considered [Williamson] |
| 4722 | Modern epistemology centres on debates about foundations, and about external justification [O'Grady] |
| 6150 | The 'warrant' for a belief is what turns a true belief into knowledge [Merricks] |
| 19540 | Don't confuse justified belief with justified believers [Dougherty/Rysiew] |
| 19703 | Epistemic is normally marked out from moral or pragmatic justifications by its truth-goal [Vahid] |
| 19729 | 'Modal epistemology' demands a connection between the belief and facts in possible worlds [Black,T] |