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Single Idea 6796
[filed under theme 10. Modality / B. Possibility / 6. Probability
]
Full Idea
Subjective probability measures a person's strength of belief in the truth of a proposition; objective probability concerns the chance a certain sort of event has of happening, independently of whether anyone thinks it is likely to occur or not.
Gist of Idea
Subjective probability measures personal beliefs; objective probability measures the chance of an event happening
Source
Alexander Bird (Philosophy of Science [1998], Ch.6)
Book Ref
Bird,Alexander: 'Philosophy of Science' [UCL Press 2000], p.188
A Reaction
The challenge to the second one is that God would know for certain whether a meteor will hit the Earth next week. The impact looks like 'bad luck' to us, but necessary to one who really knows.
The
15 ideas
with the same theme
[asserting the degree of likelihood of a fact]:
2216
|
We transfer the frequency of past observations to our future predictions
[Hume]
|
19142
|
Probability can be constrained by axioms, but that leaves open its truth nature
[Davidson]
|
19305
|
The Gambler's Fallacy (ten blacks, so red is due) overemphasises the early part of a sequence
[Harman]
|
19310
|
High probability premises need not imply high probability conclusions
[Harman]
|
7448
|
Probability is statistical (behaviour of chance devices) or epistemological (belief based on evidence)
[Hacking]
|
7447
|
Probability was fully explained between 1654 and 1812
[Hacking]
|
7449
|
Epistemological probability based either on logical implications or coherent judgments
[Hacking]
|
14281
|
A thing works like formal probability if all the options sum to 100%
[Edgington]
|
14284
|
Conclusion improbability can't exceed summed premise improbability in valid arguments
[Edgington]
|
13857
|
Truth-functional possibilities include the irrelevant, which is a mistake
[Edgington]
|
6796
|
Subjective probability measures personal beliefs; objective probability measures the chance of an event happening
[Bird]
|
6797
|
Objective probability of tails measures the bias of the coin, not our beliefs about it
[Bird]
|
14903
|
Quantum mechanics seems to imply single-case probabilities
[Ladyman/Ross]
|
14923
|
In quantum statistics, two separate classical states of affairs are treated as one
[Ladyman/Ross]
|
24054
|
Everything has a probability, something will happen, and probabilities add up
[PG]
|