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Single Idea 8425

[filed under theme 10. Modality / B. Possibility / 9. Counterfactuals ]

Full Idea

A counterfactual is non-vacuously true iff it takes less of a departure from actuality to make the consequent true along with the antecedent than it does to make the antecedent true without the consequent.

Gist of Idea

For true counterfactuals, both antecedent and consequent true is closest to actuality

Source

David Lewis (Causation [1973], p.197)

Book Ref

'Causation', ed/tr. Sosa,E. /Tooley,M. [OUP 1993], p.197


A Reaction

Almost every theory proposed by Lewis hangs on the meaning of the word 'close', as used here. If you visited twenty Earth-like worlds (watch Startrek?), it would be a struggle to decide their closeness to ours in rank order.


The 15 ideas from 'Causation'

If dispositions are more fundamental than causes, then they won't conceptually reduce to them [Bird on Lewis]
A theory of causation should explain why cause precedes effect, not take it for granted [Lewis, by Field,H]
It is just individious discrimination to pick out one cause and label it as 'the' cause [Lewis]
The counterfactual view says causes are necessary (rather than sufficient) for their effects [Lewis, by Bird]
Lewis has basic causation, counterfactuals, and a general ancestral (thus handling pre-emption) [Lewis, by Bird]
Counterfactual causation implies all laws are causal, which they aren't [Tooley on Lewis]
Lewis's account of counterfactuals is fine if we know what a law of nature is, but it won't explain the latter [Cohen,LJ on Lewis]
The modern regularity view says a cause is a member of a minimal set of sufficient conditions [Lewis]
A proposition is a set of possible worlds where it is true [Lewis]
Regularity analyses could make c an effect of e, or an epiphenomenon, or inefficacious, or pre-empted [Lewis]
My counterfactual analysis applies to particular cases, not generalisations [Lewis]
Determinism says there can't be two identical worlds up to a time, with identical laws, which then differ [Lewis]
For true counterfactuals, both antecedent and consequent true is closest to actuality [Lewis]
One event causes another iff there is a causal chain from first to second [Lewis]
I reject making the direction of causation axiomatic, since that takes too much for granted [Lewis]