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Single Idea 8567

[filed under theme 26. Natural Theory / C. Causation / 8. Particular Causation / e. Probabilistic causation ]

Full Idea

Singular causation entails physical probabilities or chances. ...Causal laws require causes to raise their effects' chances, as when fires have a greater chance of occurring when explosions do.

Gist of Idea

Singular causation requires causes to raise the physical probability of their effects

Source

D.H. Mellor (Properties and Predicates [1991], 'Props')

Book Ref

'Properties', ed/tr. Mellor,D.H. /Oliver,A [OUP 1997], p.259


A Reaction

It seems fairly obvious that a probability can be increased without actually causing something. Just after a harmless explosion is a good moment for arsonists, especially if Mellor will be the investigating officer.


The 8 ideas from D.H. Mellor

We might use 'facta' to refer to the truth-makers for facts [Mellor, by Schaffer,J]
Probabilistic causation says C is a cause of E if it increases the chances of E occurring [Mellor, by Tooley]
Causal statements relate facts (which are whatever true propositions express) [Mellor, by Psillos]
There is obviously a possible predicate for every property [Mellor]
We need universals for causation and laws of nature; the latter give them their identity [Mellor]
If properties were just the meanings of predicates, they couldn't give predicates their meaning [Mellor]
Singular causation requires causes to raise the physical probability of their effects [Mellor]
A property is merely a constituent of laws of nature; temperature is just part of thermodynamics [Mellor]