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Single Idea 17599

[filed under theme 14. Science / D. Explanation / 3. Best Explanation / a. Best explanation ]

Full Idea

On the Bayesian view, the best theory is the one with the highest subjective probability, given the evidence as calculated by Bayes's theorem.

Gist of Idea

The best theory has the highest subjective (Bayesian) probability?

Source

Paul Thagard (Coherence: The Price is Right [2012], p.45)

Book Ref

-: 'Southern Journal of Philosophy' [-], p.45


The 13 ideas from Paul Thagard

Coherence problems have positive and negative restraints; solutions maximise constraint satisfaction [Thagard]
Coherence is explanatory, deductive, conceptual, analogical, perceptual, and deliberative [Thagard]
Explanatory coherence needs symmetry,explanation,analogy,data priority, contradiction,competition,acceptance [Thagard]
Bayesian inference is forced to rely on approximations [Thagard]
The best theory has the highest subjective (Bayesian) probability? [Thagard]
Neither a priori rationalism nor sense data empiricism account for scientific knowledge [Thagard]
Verisimilitude comes from including more phenomena, and revealing what underlies [Thagard]
1: Coherence is a symmetrical relation between two propositions [Thagard, by Smart]
2: An explanation must wholly cohere internally, and with the new fact [Thagard, by Smart]
3: If an analogous pair explain another analogous pair, then they all cohere [Thagard, by Smart]
4: For coherence, observation reports have a degree of intrinsic acceptability [Thagard, by Smart]
5: Contradictory propositions incohere [Thagard, by Smart]
6: A proposition's acceptability depends on its coherence with a system [Thagard, by Smart]