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Single Idea 16860

[filed under theme 14. Science / A. Basis of Science / 5. Anomalies ]

Full Idea

A general proposition collected from particulars is often more certainly true than any one of the particular propositions from which, by an act of induction, it was inferred. It might be erroneous in any instance, but cannot be erroneous in all of them.

Gist of Idea

Inductive generalisation is more reliable than one of its instances; they can't all be wrong

Source

John Stuart Mill (System of Logic [1843], 4.1.2), quoted by Peter Lipton - Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd) 11 'The scientific'

Book Ref

Lipton,Peter: 'Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd ed)' [Routledge 2004], p.204


A Reaction

One anomaly can be ignored, but several can't, especially if the anomalies agree.


The 7 ideas with the same theme [observations which contradict current theories]:

If the apparent facts strongly conflict with probability, it is in everyone's interests to suppress the facts [Plato]
Inductive generalisation is more reliable than one of its instances; they can't all be wrong [Mill]
We can save laws from counter-instances by treating the latter as analytic definitions [Harré]
All theories contain anomalies, and so are falsified! [Newton-Smith]
The anomaly of Uranus didn't destroy Newton's mechanics - it led to Neptune's discovery [Newton-Smith]
Anomalies are judged against rival theories, and support for the current theory [Newton-Smith]
Anomalies challenge the claim that the basic explanations are actually basic [Bonjour]