14280 | The probability of two events is the first probability times the second probability assuming the first [Bayes] |
22656 | Trying to assess probabilities by mere calculation is absurd and impossible [James] |
19143 | Ramsey gave axioms for an uncertain agent to decide their preferences [Ramsey, by Davidson] |
19155 | Instead of gambling, Jeffrey made the objects of Bayesian preference to be propositions [Jeffrey, by Davidson] |
2751 | Probabilities can only be assessed relative to some evidence [Dancy,J] |
2798 | Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich] |
2799 | Bayes' theorem explains why very surprising predictions have a higher value as evidence [Horwich] |
16802 | Bayes seems to rule out prior evidence, since that has a probability of one [Lipton] |
16803 | Bayes is too liberal, since any logical consequence of a hypothesis confirms it [Lipton] |
16801 | A hypothesis is confirmed if an unlikely prediction comes true [Lipton] |
16839 | Explanation may be an important part of implementing Bayes's Theorem [Lipton] |
16837 | Bayes involves 'prior' probabilities, 'likelihood', 'posterior' probability, and 'conditionalising' [Lipton] |
6372 | Since every tautology has a probability of 1, should we believe all tautologies? [Pollock/Cruz] |
17600 | Bayesian inference is forced to rely on approximations [Thagard] |
14990 | Bayes produces weird results if the prior probabilities are bizarre [Sider] |
6798 | Bayesianism claims to find rationality and truth in induction, and show how science works [Bird] |
22178 | If the rules only concern changes of belief, and not the starting point, absurd views can look ratiional [Okasha] |
17943 | Probability supports Bayesianism better as degrees of belief than as ratios of frequencies [Colyvan] |
22365 | The Bayesian approach is explicitly subjective about probabilities [Reiss/Sprenger] |