Ideas of Thomas Bayes, by Theme

[British, 1701 - 1761, Presbyterian minister who studied in Edinburgh.]

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14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem

14280	The probability of two events is the first probability times the second probability assuming the first
	Full Idea: The probability that two events will both happen is the probability of the first [multiplied by] the probability of the second on the supposition that the first happens.
	From: Thomas Bayes (Essay on a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances [1763]), quoted by Dorothy Edgington - Conditionals (Stanf) 3.1