more from Alexander Bird

Single Idea 6796

[catalogued under 10. Modality / B. Possibility / 6. Probability]

Full Idea

Subjective probability measures a person's strength of belief in the truth of a proposition; objective probability concerns the chance a certain sort of event has of happening, independently of whether anyone thinks it is likely to occur or not.

Gist of Idea

Subjective probability measures personal beliefs; objective probability measures the chance of an event happening


Alexander Bird (Philosophy of Science [1998], Ch.6)

Book Reference

Bird,Alexander: 'Philosophy of Science' [UCL Press 2000], p.188

A Reaction

The challenge to the second one is that God would know for certain whether a meteor will hit the Earth next week. The impact looks like 'bad luck' to us, but necessary to one who really knows.