more from Laurence Bonjour

Single Idea 4261

[catalogued under 5. Theory of Logic / L. Paradox / 4. Paradoxes in Logic / e. The Lottery paradox]

Full Idea

The Lottery Paradox says that for 100 tickets and one winner, each ticket has a .99 likelihood of defeat, so they are all likely to lose, so there is unlikely to be a winner.

Gist of Idea

The Lottery Paradox says each ticket is likely to lose, so there probably won't be a winner

Source

report of Laurence Bonjour (Externalist Theories of Empirical Knowledge [1980], 5) by PG - Db (ideas)

Book Reference

'Epistemology: Internalism and Externalism', ed/tr. Kornblith,Hilary [Blackwell 2001], p.27


A Reaction

The problem seems to be viewing each ticket in isolation. If I buy two tickets, I increase my chances of winning.