more from Duncan Pritchard

Single Idea 19503

[catalogued under 10. Modality / B. Possibility / 9. Counterfactuals]

Full Idea

Low probability events such as lottery wins can occur in nearby possible worlds.

Gist of Idea

An improbably lottery win can occur in a nearby possible world

Source

Duncan Pritchard (Epistemological Disjunctivism [2012], 2.n2)

Book Reference

Pritchard,Duncan: 'Epistemological Disjunctivism' [OUP 2012], p.101


A Reaction

This seems to ruin any chance of mapping probabilities and counterfactuals in the neat model of nested possible worlds (like an onion). [Lewis must have thought of this, surely? - postcards, please]

Related Idea

Idea 6368 If my ticket won't win the lottery (and it won't), no other tickets will either [Kyburg, by Pollock/Cruz]