Ideas from 'Truth and Probability' by Frank P. Ramsey [1926], by Theme Structure

[found in 'Philosophical Papers' by Ramsey,Frank (ed/tr Mellor,D.H.) [CUP 1990,0-521-37621-1]].

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10. Modality / B. Possibility / 8. Conditionals / d. Non-truthfunction conditionals
'If' is the same as 'given that', so the degrees of belief should conform to probability theory [Ramsey]
14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
Ramsey gave axioms for an uncertain agent to decide their preferences [Davidson]