Ideas from 'Truth and Probability' by Frank P. Ramsey [1926], by Theme Structure
[found in 'Philosophical Papers' by Ramsey,Frank (ed/tr Mellor,D.H.) [CUP 1990,0521376211]].
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10. Modality / B. Possibility / 8. Conditionals / d. Nontruthfunction conditionals
13766

'If' is the same as 'given that', so the degrees of belief should conform to probability theory




Full Idea:
Ramsey suggested that 'if', 'given that' and 'on the supposition that' come to the same thing, and that the degrees of belief in the antecedent should then conform to probability theory.




From:
Frank P. Ramsey (Truth and Probability [1926]), quoted by Frank P. Ramsey  Law and Causality B




A reaction:
[compressed]

14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
19143

Ramsey gave axioms for an uncertain agent to decide their preferences




Full Idea:
Ramsey gave an axiomatic treatment of preference in the face of uncertainty, when applied to a particular agent.




From:
report of Frank P. Ramsey (Truth and Probability [1926]) by Donald Davidson  Truth and Predication 2




A reaction:
This is evidently the beginnings of Bayesian decision theory.
