Combining Texts

Ideas for 'The Sign of Four', 'The Problem of the Soul' and 'Aristotle on Substance'

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2 ideas

14. Science / A. Basis of Science / 4. Prediction
Explanation does not entail prediction [Flanagan]
     Full Idea: Explanation does not entail prediction.
     From: Owen Flanagan (The Problem of the Soul [2002], p. 73n)
     A reaction: Presumably the inverse of this is also true, as we might be able to predict through pure induction, without knowing why something happened. We predict that smoking is likely to cause cancer. Complex things might be explicable but unpredictable.
14. Science / C. Induction / 1. Induction
If you eliminate the impossible, the truth will remain, even if it is weird [Conan Doyle]
     Full Idea: When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.
     From: Arthur Conan Doyle (The Sign of Four [1890], Ch. 6)
     A reaction: A beautiful statement, by Sherlock Holmes, of Eliminative Induction. It is obviously not true, of course. Many options may still face you after you have eliminated what is actually impossible.