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16827 | If we make a hypothesis about data, then a deduction, where does the hypothesis come from? [Lipton] |
Full Idea: The cost of the hypothetico-deductive method …is that we are left in the dark about the source of the hypotheses themselves. | |
From: Peter Lipton (Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd) [2004], 05 'Explanation') | |
A reaction: How do we distinguish a wild hypothesis from a plausible one? It can only be from patterns in the data, rather than mere accumulations of data. If water causes cholera, or smoking causes cancer, the hypothesis guides the data search. |