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Ideas for 'works', 'Essay on a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances' and 'Do Conditionals Have Truth Conditions?'

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2 ideas

14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
The probability of two events is the first probability times the second probability assuming the first [Bayes]
14. Science / D. Explanation / 1. Explanation / b. Aims of explanation
A good explanation totally rules out the opposite explanation (so Forms are required) [Plato, by Ruben]