Combining Texts

All the ideas for 'fragments/reports', 'What is a Leading Principle?' and 'Bayesianism'

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5 ideas

11. Knowledge Aims / A. Knowledge / 4. Belief / c. Aim of beliefs
A 'belief' is a habit which determines how our imagination and actions proceed [Peirce]
14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
Bayes' theorem explains why very surprising predictions have a higher value as evidence [Horwich]
Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich]
15. Nature of Minds / A. Nature of Mind / 1. Mind / d. Location of mind
Alcmaeon was the first to say the brain is central to thinking [Alcmaeon, by Staden, von]
29. Religion / D. Religious Issues / 2. Immortality / b. Soul
Soul must be immortal, since it continually moves, like the heavens [Alcmaeon, by Aristotle]