Combining Texts

All the ideas for 'Conditionals', 'Bayesianism' and 'Introduction to Philosophical Papers I'

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7 ideas

1. Philosophy / E. Nature of Metaphysics / 3. Metaphysical Systems
21461 I tried to be unsystematic and piecemeal, but failed; my papers presuppose my other views [Lewis]
10. Modality / B. Possibility / 8. Conditionals / a. Conditionals
13768 Validity can preserve certainty in mathematics, but conditionals about contingents are another matter [Edgington]
10. Modality / B. Possibility / 8. Conditionals / b. Types of conditional
13770 There are many different conditional mental states, and different conditional speech acts [Edgington]
10. Modality / B. Possibility / 8. Conditionals / c. Truth-function conditionals
13764 Are conditionals truth-functional - do the truth values of A and B determine the truth value of 'If A, B'? [Edgington]
13765 'If A,B' must entail ¬(A & ¬B); otherwise we could have A true, B false, and If A,B true, invalidating modus ponens [Edgington]
14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
2799 Bayes' theorem explains why very surprising predictions have a higher value as evidence [Horwich]
2798 Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich]