Combining Texts

All the ideas for 'Bayesianism', 'Criterion of Validity in Reasoning' and 'Many, but almost one'

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10 ideas

2. Reason / A. Nature of Reason / 4. Aims of Reason
14779 I reason in order to avoid disappointment and surprise [Peirce]
3. Truth / H. Deflationary Truth / 1. Redundant Truth
14777 That a judgement is true and that we judge it true are quite different things [Peirce]
5. Theory of Logic / A. Overview of Logic / 3. Value of Logic
14780 Only study logic if you think your own reasoning is deficient [Peirce]
7. Existence / D. Theories of Reality / 8. Facts / a. Facts
14778 Facts are hard unmoved things, unaffected by what people may think of them [Peirce]
7. Existence / D. Theories of Reality / 10. Vagueness / d. Vagueness as linguistic
15538 Semantic indecision explains vagueness (if we have precisifications to be undecided about) [Lewis]
9. Objects / B. Unity of Objects / 3. Unity Problems / b. Cat and its tail
15537 If cats are vague, we deny that the many cats are one, or deny that the one cat is many [Lewis]
9. Objects / B. Unity of Objects / 3. Unity Problems / e. Vague objects
15536 We have one cloud, but many possible boundaries and aggregates for it [Lewis]
14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
2799 Bayes' theorem explains why very surprising predictions have a higher value as evidence [Horwich]
2798 Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich]
19. Language / F. Communication / 6. Interpreting Language / c. Principle of charity
15539 Basic to pragmatics is taking a message in a way that makes sense of it [Lewis]