Single Idea 7449

[catalogued under 10. Modality / B. Possibility / 6. Probability]

Full Idea

Epistemological probability is torn between Keynes etc saying it depends on the strength of logical implication, and Ramsey etc saying it is personal judgement which is subject to strong rules of internal coherence.

Gist of Idea

Epistemological probability based either on logical implications or coherent judgments

Source

Ian Hacking (The Emergence of Probability [1975], Ch.2)

Book Reference

Hacking,Ian: 'The Emergence of Probability' [CUP 1975], p.14


A Reaction

See Idea 7449 for epistemological probability. My immediate intuition is that the Ramsey approach sounds much more plausible. In real life there are too many fine-grained particulars involved for straight implication to settle a probability.

Related Idea

Idea 7449 Epistemological probability based either on logical implications or coherent judgments [Hacking]