Single Idea 16803

[catalogued under 14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem]

Full Idea

Since the Bayesian account says a hypothesis is confirmed by any of its logical consequences …it seems to inherit the over-permissiveness of the hypothetico-deductive model.

Gist of Idea

Bayes is too liberal, since any logical consequence of a hypothesis confirms it

Source

Peter Lipton (Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd) [2004], 01 'Descr')

Book Reference

Lipton,Peter: 'Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd ed)' [Routledge 2004], p.17


A Reaction

This sounds like Hempel's Raven Paradox, where the probability of some logical consequences seems impossible to assess.