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14. Science / D. Explanation / 2. Types of Explanation / l. Probabilistic explanations

[explain by showing what increases probabilities]

7 ideas
Statistical explanation needs relevance, not high probability [Salmon]
Think of probabilities in terms of propensities rather than frequencies [Salmon]
Can events whose probabilities are low be explained? [Salmon]
If the well-ordering of a pack of cards was by shuffling, the explanation would make it more surprising [Lewis]
To maximise probability, don't go beyond your data [Lipton]
Probabilistic-statistical explanations don't entail the explanandum, but makes it more likely [Bird]
An operation might reduce the probability of death, yet explain a death [Bird]